Texas-Housing-Insight-August-2024

Texas Housing Insight August 2024 Summary

All measurements are calculated using seasonally adjusted data, and percentage changes are calculated month-over-month, unless stated otherwise.

August saw a fall in home sales and a continued rise in building permits. New listings increased almost 14 percent, driven largely by the Houston metro recovering after Hurricane Beryl. The storm did not have the same degree of impact on sales. Home prices fell slightly to $335,494.

Sales Dip, New Listings Bounce Back 

After bouncing back in July, statewide seasonally adjusted home sales dropped 6.2 percent month-over-month (MOM), resulting in 24,948 homes sold (Table 1). Dallas had the largest decrease among the Big Four at 10.4 percent (6,858), followed by Houston at 4.4 percent (6,628) and San Antonio at 4 percent (2,622). Austin was the only one among the Big Four to have an increase in August (2.7 percent), resulting in 2,267 homes sold.

The number of new listings increased by over 5,500, marking a 13.8 percent rise from July, in large part due to Hurricane Beryl. New listings plummeted the week of Hurricane Beryl with the following weeks making up for the decline. This increase spilled over into August, when new listings normally are in decline following the peak months of June and July. Houston saw a substantial increase of 44.9 percent (14,098), followed by Austin at 27 percent (3,543) and Dallas at 12.5 percent (11,349). San Antonio had the smallest addition among the Big Four, with a 5.8 percent increase (4,060). 

The state’s average days on market (DOM) increased by one day to 61 days. Dallas had the largest increase—from 52 to 55 days, a 7 percent increase. Similarly, Austin increased from 68 to 70 days. Houston and San Antonio both rose by one day and are currently at 52 and 74 days on market, respectively.   

Texas’ number of active listings increased from 116,294 to 120,129 (3.3 percent). Active listings across the Big Four rose in August with Dallas, San Antonio, and Houston increasing by 4.3 percent (26,835), 1.5 percent (14,093), and 3.5 percent (28,456), respectively, while Austin rose by 0.1 percent (11,519).   

Statewide pending listings have begun increasing with 1,368 additional pending listings in August. The pending listings across the Big Four have been mixed with Houston (7,294) and Austin (2,616) increasing by 18.6 and 15 percent, respectively. Meanwhile, San Antonio (2,235) and Dallas (6,170) declined by 20 percent and 14.7 percent, respectively.

Interest Rates on the Decline 

Treasury and mortgage rates both declined in August but at a much faster rate than the month before. The average ten-year U.S. Treasury Bond yield fell 38 basis points to 3.87 percent. The Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation’s 30-year fixed-rate fell by 35 basis points to 6.5 percent.  

Single-Family Permits Grow at a Slower Pace 

Statewide, building permits increased at a lower rate in August, up 1.59 percent MOM after a 29 percent increase in July. Houston grew by 7.3 percent and Dallas by 2.2 percent. Austin and San Antonio, on the other hand, fell by 8.1 and 7.3 percent, respectively.   

Single-family construction starts grew after monthly declines since March 2024. Seasonally adjusted statewide single-family starts increased by 8 percent MOM to 13,564 units. Houston and Austin rose by 20 and 17 percent, respectively, while San Antonio increased by comparatively less (2.5 percent). Meanwhile, Dallas decreased by 0.6 percent. 

The state’s total value of single-family starts climbed from $20.28 billion in August 2023 to $26.13 billion in August 2024. Houston accounted for 35.7 percent of the state’s total starts value followed by Dallas with 27.1 percent.  

Home Price Dip Slightly

Texas’ median home price fell 0.2 percent MOM in August from $336,109 to $335,494 (Table 2). Houston fell by 2.7 percent to $331,510 while Dallas rose by 2.2 percent to $396,654. Austin fell the most among the Big Four, by 2.8 percent to $435,915. San Antonio fell by 1.3 percent to $306,698.   

The Texas Repeat Sales Home Price Index (Jan 2005=100), which is a more accurate reflection of home price changes, fell 0.5 percent MOM in August but increased 1.1 percent year over year (YOY). Austin’s annual appreciation remains below the state’s average and fell by 3.9 percent YOY in August. 

Source: Texas Housing Insight | Texas Real Estate Research Center (tamu.edu)

BY JOSHUA ROBERSON, RHUTU KALLURand Junqing Wu (October 9, 2024)

City fast Facts Website Thumbnail Graphics-18

Spotlight on University Park

Click here for a printable version of the University Park Fast Facts and view all DFW Area Fast Facts here.

Whether you’re a lifelong resident or new to the area, there’s always something new to discover about your neighborhood.  With that in mind, we created a Fast Facts sheet for cities and neighborhoods all over the DFW area. Our DFW Area fast facts have detailed real estate insights, things to do, places to shop and some of our favorite restaurants in each area.

University Park, located within the Dallas metropolitan area, is a prestigious residential community known for its proximity to Southern Methodist University (SMU). The neighborhood’s tree-lined streets, well-maintained homes, and beautiful parks create an inviting atmosphere. With a mix of upscale shopping, dining options, and cultural attractions, University Park offers residents and visitors a sophisticated yet welcoming environment that blends academic influence with the vibrancy of urban living.

POPULATION

25K

AVERAGE HOUSEHOLD INCOME

$338K

MEDIAN AGE

35

HOUSING

83% OWN
17% RENT

AVERAGE SALES PRICE

$2.4M

AREA ACTIVITIES & FEATURES

• DALLAS ARBORETUM & BOTANICAL GARDENS
• GEORGE W. BUSH PRESIDENTIAL LIBRARY & MUSEUM
• FRONTIERS OF FLIGHT MUSEUM
• CIDERCADE | ARCADE BAR
• MEDIEVAL TIMES | INTERACTIVE SHOW
• KLYDE WARREN PARK
• PEROT MUSEUM OF NATURE & SCIENCE
• KATY TRAILS
• REUNION TOWER
• DALLAS MARKET CENTER | SHOPPING CENTER
• NASHER SCULPTURE CENTER

FAVORITE LOCAL DINING & DRINK SPOTS

• DL MACK’S • BUBBA’S COOKS COUNTRY • BANDITO’S
TEX MEX CANTINA • HALF SHELLS OYSTER BAR & GRILL •
BIRD BAKERY • FACHINI • CISCO GRILL • OLIVELLA’S
PIZZA & WINE • HONOR BAR • YO LOBSTER •
• MUCHACHO • HILLSTONE • LUCKY’S HOT CHICKEN •
• IL BRACCO • R&D KITCHEN • JIA MODERN CHINESE •
• SEVY’S GRILL • RISE NO 1 • JOSE ON LOVERS • ASIAN
MINT • ADELMO’S RISTORANTE • DRAKE’S HOLLYWOOD •

FAVORITE LOCAL SHOPPING

• YLANG23 • TOOTSIES • LUCKY DOG BARKERY •
• NARDOS DESIGN • SOFIE GREY BOUTIQUE •
• BACHENDORF’S • CLOTHES CIRCUIT • SWOOZIE’S •
SOCIETY • COS BAR • DEAR HANNAH • BABYBLISS •

AVERAGE DRIVE TIMES

• DOWNTOWN DALLAS | 15 MINUTES
• DALLAS LOVE FIELD AIRPORT | 14 MINUTES
• DFW INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT | 30 MINUTES
• AT&T STADIUM & GLOBE LIFE FIELD | 30 MINUTES
• DOWNTOWN FORT WORTH | 45 MINUTES

Home for sale with red and white real estate sign during the fall season.  Fall season with leaves on ground.  Front porch and windows in background.  Residential neighborhood.  Moving house, relocation concept.

Fall Market Outlook for Residential Real Estate in North Texas

As we move into the final months of 2024, all eyes are on the North Texas real estate market. Buyers and sellers are paying close attention to key factors like mortgage rates, inventory levels, home prices, and broader economic conditions.

This fall market outlook is provided by Republic Title, an industry leader and title expert with over 30 years of experience in North Texas, who closely monitors market trends and provides valuable insights to stakeholders in the real estate industry.

Lowering Mortgage Rates Could Stimulate Demand

In September 2024, the Federal Reserve made a larger-than-expected rate cut, reducing the federal funds rate by 50 basis points. This was the first major rate cut since 2020, and it’s aimed at easing inflation and responding to economic uncertainty. While mortgage rates are not directly tied to the Fed’s decisions, they are often influenced by the broader economic environment the Fed’s actions shape.

Currently, the average 30-year mortgage rate hovers around 6.4% and experts are predicting a gradual decline in rates through the next year. This shift is expected to bring more buyers back into the market, especially as they anticipate further reductions.

Inventory Levels Are Slowly Increasing

Housing inventory is slowly on the rise in North Texas

One of the key changes in the North Texas real estate market is the steady increase in inventory. This gradual rise is providing buyers with more options and helping to alleviate some of the intense bidding wars that characterized the pandemic-era housing boom. However, despite this progress, inventory levels remain relatively low by historical standards, meaning the market still favors sellers to some extent. Typically, a balanced market is defined by around six months of inventory, where neither buyers nor sellers have a clear advantage. The current trend suggests we are moving in the right direction.

DFW Suburbs: A Growing Popularity Trend

(Photo: Mimi Perez for CandyDirt.com)
Historic Downtown Wylie (Photo: Mimi Perez for CandyDirt.com)

While Dallas and Fort Worth continue to attract a steady stream of buyers, the affordability of surrounding suburbs is a major draw for many North Texans. A recent study by GoBankingRates.com ranked Dallas suburbs Lewisville, Waxahachie, Midlothian, and Wylie among the “Most Affordable” areas, with homes under $500k.

These cities, along with others like Frisco and McKinney, offer excellent amenities, quality schools, and a growing infrastructure, making them attractive for buyers looking for a balance between affordability and convenience. The availability of homes under $500k in these suburbs is a significant factor, especially as prices in Dallas and Fort Worth continue to rise.

The appeal of DFW suburbs lies not only in their affordability but also in their continued expansion. These areas are growing rapidly and are set to provide great long-term value for buyers who are priced out of the Dallas and Fort Worth housing markets.

Economic Factors and the 2024 Presidential Election

Beyond mortgage rates and inventory, the broader economy is also playing a role in shaping the North Texas real estate market. Inflation has cooled slightly, but uncertainty around economic growth continues to influence consumer confidence. As we approach the 2024 Presidential election, economic policies and political outcomes could further affect real estate decisions.

Historically, election years can create a bit of a pause in the housing market, as buyers and sellers adopt a wait-and-see approach. However, the underlying fundamentals of the North Texas market remain strong, supported by population growth, business expansion, and relatively low unemployment rates in the region.

What This Means for Home Prices

As demand remains strong and inventory levels gradually rise, home prices in North Texas are projected to continue their upward trajectory. While they may not increase as dramatically as they did during the height of the pandemic, most experts predict a steady rise through the remainder of 2024.

Fannie Mae’s projection of a 6.1% increase year-over-year is the most optimistic, while the Mortgage Bankers Association and National Association of Realtors also expect solid growth, though at slightly more conservative rates of 4.1% and 3.8%, respectively.

The combination of lowering mortgage rates and modest inventory gains could create a window of opportunity for buyers who act swiftly, but those waiting too long may find themselves facing higher prices as demand outpaces supply.

The Importance of a Knowledgeable Real Estate Agent

In a market as dynamic as North Texas, having a real estate agent with local expertise is more crucial than ever. A seasoned agent understands how to navigate market fluctuations, secure the best mortgage rates, and negotiate deals in a competitive environment. Agents who keep a close eye on market trends can help buyers understand how potential changes in mortgage rates or inventory could impact their purchasing power. Similarly, for sellers, an agent’s expertise can help ensure that properties are priced correctly and marketed effectively.

In conclusion, the fall of 2024 presents a unique opportunity for buyers and sellers in North Texas. With mortgage rates expected to decline gradually, inventory levels improving, and the continued growth of our suburbs, the real estate landscape remains competitive but promising. As you navigate these market conditions, having a trusted partner to ensure a smooth transaction is critical. Republic Title, the preferred title partner in North Texas, offers proven experience, exceptional service, and a commitment to protecting your largest financial investments.

Source: Republic Title Tip: Fall Market Outlook for Residential Real Estate in North Texas – CandysDirt.com

Pink-Party-2024-logo-graphic

15th Annual Pink Party

The 15th annual Pink Party, benefiting The Bridge Breast Network, was held last week and was a huge success! Our Lakewood office deserves a round of applause for their constant dedication to such an incredible cause. 
 
Additionally, we would like to give a heartfelt thank you to the party attendees and generous donors who year after year have made this party what it is! Your unwavering support has helped make a significant difference in the lives of those battling breast cancer. Thank you all for being a part of this amazing cause!
Class-Calendar-Blog-Header

October Class Calendar

Republic Title is pleased to offer a variety of continuing education classes for our customers. Join us in October for classes including:

Top Ten Contract Addenda
APPROVED TREC CONTRACT COURSE.
Join us to review 10 of the most commonly utilized TREC contract addenda including Third Party Financing Addendum, Addendum for Backup Contract and more.
October 3rd
10:00 am – 11:00 am
Republic Title Preston Legacy Office

Death, Divorce & Real Estate
Join us to learn important laws surrounding death and divorce such as separation, homestead issues, community property and probate.
October 10th
12:00 pm – 1:00 pm
3322 Dorado Beach Drive, Farmers Branch 75234

Appraisal + Underwriting
Come hear a panel of appraisal experts discuss appraisal reports. Covering topics like collateral underwriting challenges, successes, and industry technology changes.
October 17th
10:00 am – 11:00 am
Brookside at Fields Amenity Center

Tips on Hosting an Awesome Open House
Holding an open house is a great way to showcase a new listing and attract prospective clients. In this course, agents will learn the maximize their open house opportunity and learn how to promote the property, generate leads and practice good safety while on the job.
October 22nd
10:00 am – 12:00 pm
Zoom

Know Your Market Data & Trends
Successful agents thrive by understanding their local markets inside and out. Whether you’re in a casual meeting, a listing presentation, or engaging on social media, having the ability to produce accurate and insightful market reports is crucial. Join us in this class, “Know Your Market Data and Trends,” where you’ll learn how to generate current and relevant monthly and annual statistics using the various tools available through NTREIS.
October 22nd
12:30 pm – 1:30 pm
Republic Title North Dallas Office

Maximize Productivity with ChatGPT: A Real Estate Agent’s Guide
Teaching real estate agents to use ChatGPT can improve their overall effectiveness and efficiency in serving clients. Come to this class to learn the many ways ChatGPT can help you create better listing descriptions, social media posts, scripts for videos & blogs, ad copy and so much more.
October 23rd
11:00 am – 12:00 pm
Republic Title Southlake

Sowing Success: Farming with Realist Tax
Elevate your local market expertise with our deep dive into Realist® Tax, a powerful tool within your NTREIS Matrix dashboard designed to give you the knowledge and skills needed for effective farming and marketing strategies!
October 24th
10:00 am – 11:00 am
Zoom

It’s All Foreign to Me
This class will cover many areas of a transaction involving a non-US citizen including Foreign Investors Real Property Tax Act (FIRPTA), Foreign Wills, Mexican Matricula Consular and Foreign Acknowledgments.
October 29th
10:00 am – 11:00 am
Zoom

Death, Divorce & Real Estate
Join us to learn important laws surrounding death and divorce such as separation, homestead issues, community property and probate.
October 30th
10:00 am – 11:00 am
Republic Title Prosper Office

Capture More Clients
Agents will be shown the various tools and landing pages available in the NTREIS MLS system that could be used to attract more business and help generate leads from buyers and sellers.
October 30th
11:00 am – 12:00 pm
Republic Title Frisco Office

Residential Education | REPUBLIC TITLE